Wells, Hill help Jays rout struggling Rangers

Baseball Betting Lines

09/06/2010 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Vernon Wells hit a three-run homer and Aaron Hill clubbed a two-run shot, as the Toronto Blue Jays earned a 7-2 decision over the American League West-leading Texas Rangers in the opener of a four- game series at Rogers Centre.

Yunel Escobar added a solo shot for the Blue Jays, who have won two straight and split their last six overall.

Ricky Romero (12-8) threw seven solid innings, allowing one run on seven hits with two walks and two strikeouts in earning the victory.

Michael Young had an RBI double among three hits and David Murphy chipped in with a run-scoring single for Texas, which has dropped four in a row and seven of nine, but still leads the division by 7 1/2 games ahead of Oakland.

Tommy Hunter (12-3), a winner of three straight starts coming in, was roughed up for seven runs on as many hits, walked a pair and struck out four over seven innings. Left-hander Cliff Lee was originally scheduled to get the start, but was pushed back until Tuesday, then scratched with an ailing back.

Toronto got a gift run in the second to open the scoring. With runners on second and third, and two outs, John Buck struck out swinging, but a wild pitch scored Wells, who started the inning with an infield single.

Then with two aboard in the third, Wells lined a fastball that just cleared the left-field wall for a 4-0 Blue Jays advantage. After Lyle Overbay reached with a double, Hill clubbed a two-run shot to left.

Murphy got the Rangers on the board with an RBI single in the fourth. Texas then stranded two runners in both the fifth and seventh innings.

Meanwhile, Hunter settled down to retire 12 in a row before serving up a solo homer to Escobar with two outs in the seventh that put the Jays in front, 7-1.

Shawn Camp took over for Romero in the eighth and tossed a scoreless inning. Brian Tallet came on for the ninth and allowed an run-scoring two-out double to Young. Nelson Cruz then flied out to end the game.

Game Notes

Rangers outfielder Josh Hamilton missed the game with a rib cage injury and will likely sit out this week...Prior to the game, Texas recalled infielder Esteban German from Triple-A Oklahoma City and designated infielder Alex Cora for assignment...The Blue Jays have won six of their seven matchups with the Rangers this season.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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